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Humans, after all, are the ones who create stats. In 10th grade, he gave a class presentation on horse handicapping he now also breeds and races horses. Then one day he got a flyer in the mail from a hotshot Vegas gambler posing in front of a Ferrari. The guy was selling odds advice.

Thirty days later, he was almost broke. After it was over, when he called up looking to speak with the man on the flyer, the answer he got made him feel sick. That was 35 years ago. While he now considers himself one of the good guys, the company he worked for after heading west has the opposite reputation. Is a marquee player out?

With the public now thinking the squad is unstoppable, the players lose their edge, and in rolls the upset. There are also different betting strategies. He also bets on a limited number of games a day, usually around three. Winning or losing, he never strays from these guidelines. Others advocate putting the same amount down on each matchup and wagering on a high volume of games, since that gives you the opportunity to make more money with a lower winning percentage. And Syracuse professor Paul says he questions anyone who would be willing to share a winning strategy.

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Handicapping for Bettor or Worse A Fresh Perspective to Betting the Races

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Handicapping In Horse Racing

Feb 08, Jay rated it liked it Shelves: horse-racing. Written in , this one had an interesting organization. In this part, Lindley shows how handicappers can treat each horse like an interchangeable entity that is quantified based on his or her numbers.

Ask the Experts: Sports Betting Tips on How to Handicap Your Own Games

Do not be surprised here — the author writes tip sheets. The second part of the book takes what seems to be the opposite tact, which is to treat each horse as an individual. Lindley suggests taking many things into account when choosing a horse and a bet, including the dullness of their coat, their last workouts, habits of the trainer and jockey, history of the owner, and many, many more. By the end of this part, you feel like Lindley has made a very good case against part time handicapping, and against betting when not actually at the track.

Again, this is certainly an interesting list of things to think about, but there is no magic bullet provided, and it only goes to make the case to buy tip sheets from the handicappers that live at the track you are betting, the ones that can, for instance, check that the workout clockers are getting good readings. I found this strange because the statistics he is talking about enter into a lot of the measurements in the first section of the book — he appears to be undermining the validity of that entire section. I'm not sure ending a handicapping book with a discourse on the high impact of luck is good for the book, but Lindley does it, perhaps to dissuade the casual bettor. He seems to be saying that handicapping well is a job for professionals. I appreciated that Lindley is a horse owner and claimer, and many of the hints he gave were strategies he had used to choose horses. Large parts of the middle section of the book talk about how to pick out a horse that will perform well after the race has started — good for claimers, not immediately useful for bettors.